Tuesday, June 23, 2009

India clones a Buffalo

Mike - the MBA blogger

Friday, June 19, 2009

Dead while Working

The Continental Airlines pilot died on a trans-Atlantic flight from Brussels to Newark. The fellow crew members had initially thought he fell asleep. Craig Lenell, 60, had no known heart condition and underwent twice-a-year physicals. Lenell died of a suspected heart attack midway through Continental Airlines Flight 61 on Thursday. Pilots must pass an extensive physical every six months to remain qualified to fly. The exam includes an electrocardiogram, blood pressure check and a vision test. Two co-pilots took over the controls. Amazingly, the Passengers didn't know anything until they landed. I remember a similar incident when an employee was found dead after 3 days in office. Working too hard!

Mike - the MBA blogger

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

From Cost-cuts to Salary-Cuts

British Airways has asked its 40,000 staff to work without pay for up to a month as the ailing airline seeks to cut costs. BA made a record £401 million loss in 2008 due to surging fuel prices and collapsing premium-fare passengers. The move is to reduce costs dramatically and BA has already offered staff unpaid leave or a reduction in hours. BA’s chief executive,Mr Walsh, has now gone a step further by asking staff to volunteer for between one and four weeks of unpaid work in what was dubbed as “fight for survival.”

Mr Walsh, last week said he would work for free in July, and has set a deadline of June 24 for employees to volunteer for unpaid work. Salary deductions are expected to be spread over three to six months wherever possible.


Mike - the MBA blogger

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Asian Oil Pipeline

A major natural gas pipeline that would stretch from the fields of southern Iran to Pakistan and India — itself a remarkable prospect — is being planned. But it faces serious hurdles, not least the fierce opposition of the U.S. government.
The history of relations between Persia and the Indian subcontinent is more than 2000 years old. Until 200 years ago, Persian was the language of literature and government in India. After separation of Pakistan from India, Iran faced a dilemma of its relations with these two new states. During the Shah's era, Iran preferred to have close relations with Pakistan, although economic ties with India were not ignored. After the collapse of the Soviet Union and Pakistan's support of hardliners in Afghanistan, Iran found India as a new partner in Asia. India has been slowly but surely forging a comprehensive relationship with Iran on energy and commerce, infrastructure development, and military ties. Iran looks to India as a developed, democratic, and politically lucrative country for cooperation. For instance, some 8,000 Iranian students are studying in India, compared with 2,000 in the United States.

A big market for India, Iran has the world's second largest oil and gas proven reserves, and acts as an important access route for India to Central Asia and Afghanistan. Case in point: India is seeking new routes to reach to Central Asia. One of them is the North-South Corridor, which links India to Russia and all of the former Soviet Union via the Persian Gulf, Iran and Caspian Sea. Iran's considerations are boosting trade, having secure borders, and avoiding "encirclement" by American proxies. At the same time, Iran is opposed to the hegemonic presence of the United States and its troops in the Indian Ocean. India has not been hesitant to play the Iran card to draw concessions from the United States on other matters of bilateral concern. So the pipeline is freighted with more significance than merely the delivery of natural gas. Not much has been heard about the Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) pipeline for some time, but that all changed on the sidelines of a regional summit that brought together Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad and Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari in Tehran on May 24.

But there are some major obstacles to overcome before any Iranian gas actually crosses the border into Pakistan -- and even more before that gas can be routed to India.

The first major question is where the money will come from.

The first leg of the plan is to build a 2,100-kilometer long pipeline from Iran's South Pars gas field into Pakistan -- at an estimated $7.5 billion. The next step would be to build a 600-kilometer extension that would go on to India.

But while a rival gas-pipeline project -- the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) -- is supported by the Asian Development Bank, the IPI does not have any backing from international financial institutions. Furthermore, TAPI is not as vulnerable to the financial or political opposition that IPI could experience due to the involvement of Iran, whose nuclear program has made it a pariah in the international community.

Complicating matters for both projects is that they are to be routed through Baluchistan. Considering that Baluch nationalists have already blown up domestic gas pipelines on the Pakistani side of the border in their fight for greater autonomy from Islamabad, their stance on a new pipeline from Iran (or Afghanistan) could be easily guessed.

As Ahmadinejad and Zardari watched representatives of their respective countries' gas companies ink the deal, the two presidents managed to avoid addressing such difficult questions. Ahmadinejad and Zardari hailed the plan to build a "pipeline of peace," with Zardari pointing to the significance of the signing of the agreement after some 10 years of talks.

Pakistani adviser on petroleum and natural resources Asim Hussain said Pakistan and Iran would sign a formal agreement on the pipeline project within 15 days in a third country. Hussain did not say which country, but given India's longtime interest in the project, it is assumed that it is the "third country."

That leads to more uncertainty, considering New Delhi's difficult relations with Islamabad. Pakistan, however, has made clear it would build the pipeline with Iran even if India opts out of the project. Iranian and Pakistani officials have said construction of the new pipeline could start within three to four years and be finished some five years later.

Mike - the MBA blogger

The Dilbert Principle

I must confess, I read Scott Adams' Dilbert Principle a little too early. At that time, I could not appreciate the humor as much as I do now :)But now that I have a job (don't know for how long) I am beginning to see what Scott envisioned.

'Work' equates to conference calls and more conference calls discussing what went wrong with what was planned during the previous conference call. The rest of the time, you are free to do whatever you want to as long as you show that you add value to the company. Often, this involves remaining silent on most conference calls and saying something vague (read corporate mambo-jambo) when asked for an opinion. An exception to this rule is the last minute work that gets shoved onto your desk by your boss. These require some scurrying around and usually result in frantic emails/calls. An eternal optimist will capitalize on these rare occasions to wash away any guilt that he/she is being compensated for just being physically present at work. The rest of time can be spent on facebook, chat windows or other tools that have a proven track record of keeping boredom at bay.

At the end of the day, as long as you remain in control of your emotions and think, speak and act logically, you can lay claim to have all that it takes to succeed in pretty much any job. Good communication skills, PowerPoint and Excel skills, and the ability to manage relationships well help you take the elevator on your way up instead of the escalator. Specific to the US, additional skills required to be on the fast track to success include the ability to drink for a long time without getting inebriated and being up to date with what is happening on the sports scene.

My Dad once told me that in order to succeed at the workplace, you must realize that people that work above you are fools and you must either be one or learn to act like one. I am still trying to figure out whether I am acting or just being myself!

If you spent the last few minutes reading this drivel, I apologize - my entire post can be summarized by Dilbert.



Disclaimer: This was not posted while I was at work. The post was not inspired by, or have any relation to my job. Besides, I am currently a student :)

Mike - the MBA blogger

Monday, June 1, 2009

Boyle's Mumai Obsession!

While Oscar-winning Slumdog Millionaire was inspired by Indian diplomat Vikas Swarup's book 'Q&A', the forthcoming thriller will be based on the novel 'Maximum City: Bombay Lost and Found' by Suketu Mehta, an Indian-born journalist and author based in New York. Boyle has reportedly bought the rights of the critically acclaimed novel, which was first published in 2004. Partly a travelogue and partly an autobiography, the book delves into the interconnected worlds of Mumbai's slum-dwellers, dancing girls, underworld dons and Hindu radicals.

The non-fiction work has been likened to everything from Balzac's descriptions of Paris to The Arabian Nights. Boyle's Slumdog Millionaire won eight Oscars and grossed over 220 million pounds at the box office. So is it going to be another film that showcases India's sharp and contrasting realities?

Mike - the MBA blogger

Friday, May 29, 2009

North Korea's Nuclear Moves

North Korea again conducted its Nuclear Tests on May 25 2009. The tests signaled Pyongyang's growing disillusionment over the U.S. refusal to conduct bilateral talks. North Korea, facing international censure for the nuclear test, threatened on again to attack the South after it joined a U.S.-led plan to check vessels suspected of carrying equipment for weapons of mass destruction.


"Last year, a lot of people from Seoul and Washington visited Pyongyang telling Kim and his people that once Obama was in the White House, the U.S. was going to be a totally different entity to deal with," said Lee Dong-bok, a senior associate in Seoul for the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).

But it's not working out that way. That's the reason North Korea is acting in such an erratic manner."

When North Korea first conducted Nuclear tests on Oct 9 2006, it said it carried out in defiance of international warnings. It was a success and had not resulted in any leak of radiation. The US said the reported test was a "provocative act", while China denounced it as "brazen". China expressed its "resolute opposition" to the claimed test and said it "defied the universal opposition of international society".
A Russian news agency reported that an official in North Korea's embassy in Moscow warned that new tests would take place "if the United States and its allies continue the policy of intimidation against North Korea," Tass reported.

Mike - the MBA blogger

Thursday, May 28, 2009

The Politics of Power and the Power of Politics

My course Global Political Economy and Regional Business Environment has really opened my eyes and ears to Political behaviors and International relations.

US: US has been in a mess caught between India and Pakistan. India obviously is at the wrong ends with respect to Kashmir but India has a sound excuse - Terrorism and the violent effects of an untrusty neighbour, Pakistan. US has been losing its face in the muslim world and Pakistan is now the center of the world's attention. Pakistan's co-operation to destroy the Taliban setup is vital for US. At the same time, US's involvement in the Pakistan affairs, such as with India on Kashmir, spoils its reputation. Pakistan public is convinced now than ever that India, US and the West are forces of oppresion, Anti-Pakistan. So US reacts mildly to the release of India's most wanted terrorist,Jamaat -ud-Dawa's chief Hafiz Saeed, while India is unhappy at the release of from house arrest. Pakistan has no plans to go back to the Lahore court with more evidence against Hafeez. US's war on terror has also become more famous or infamous as a war on Islam. So US wants Pakistan to do the dirty so that the religius view is ruled out.

China: Chinese are really everywhere. So are the Indians but then China is than India the leader in East-Asia and China's closeness to Pakistan equals if not is stronger in the muslim world. With active help from China and North Korea, Pakistan has surged well ahead of India in the missile arena. The only nuclear-capable ballistic missile in India’s arsenal which can be said to be 100% operational as of now is the short-range Prithvi missile. China has been supporting naxals in East India and Pakistan to weaken India.
China has naval bases in Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Myanmmar. China is coming closer and closer to India's border and in many cases has infringed beyond!

Pakistan: The country is in a mess. LeT, State-backed terror network is now stabbing the state. LeT and Al Quaida came closer and did carry out Anti-Indian activities for decades. However, with Pakistan co-operating (?) with US to vanquish the terror networks (really? yeah, whatever, that's the latest from Pakistan), LeT has had to fight with Pak to help Al Qaida. Pakistan has been lying to its people for long long time. Pakistan has blamed India forever and sucessfully fed the Pakistani minds with seeds of Anti-India. Now, even a cleaning job is seen by the public as an act of compulsion towards US and other so called, Anti-Pakistan forces. Pakistan knows the terror networks it has setup, which operates behind the scenes, but dismantling it
would lose the government, not only its face but lead to public outcry. Again, Pakistan which has about 60 nuclear warheads, primarily targeted towards India, is continuing production of fissile material for weapons and adding to its production facilities and delivery vehicles, a US Congressional report has said.

India: India has been under-playing the Chinese threat for a long time. SM. Krishna's appointment, immediately saw increased troops in the Indo-Chinese border. India is realizing China is day-by-day moving towards a regional hegemon. India really needs to get on the act and face up to China's threat. US has been asking India to take an active role in Pakistan because US thinks India should join the party if it wants to hear the music. India is worried as it feels, it would lead to increased attacks in India. It may also antagonize the muslims in India. Will India ever join Pakistan for help. Never! I would say its right thing to do too, you never know when Pakistan will turn against India! Sometimes standing still may be, the best move you ever made! India has been purchasing defense weapons from Israel and Pakistan has hence pinned India-Israel nexus as Anti-Pakistan!


Mike - the MBA blogger

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

The story of Gastarbeiters

While the Oil Boom has yet to make Siberia a magnet for Russia's knowledge class, it is attracting many other newcomers: impoverished immigrants from beyond Russia's borders. Every morning, in a vacant lot just off the highway to Filipenko's showcase capital, it is common for a group of shabbily dressed men ranging in age from their 20s to their 40s, waiting for offers of menial work. A car usually pulls up, and several of the men walk over to talk to the driver, who is looking for a few hands to dig potatoes. But his offering price, just under ten dollars a day, isn't enough, and he drives away without any takers.

These men are what Russians, borrowing a German word, call gastarbeiters—guest workers. They are nearly everywhere in Khanty-Mansi. Most are Muslims from Tajikistan, the former Soviet republic in Central Asia whose economy was shattered by civil war in the mid-1990s. They come here in spring and return home before winter arrives. It's not every day they find a job, but when they do they can earn about $20 lugging bags of cement for a construction crew or doing household cleaning. They wire funds back to their families, and their employers avoid paying taxes on the wages.

The men are supposed to obtain registration papers certifying their place of residence, but, as they tell me, they have no authorized place to live, bunking instead in unheated garages illegally rented to them. A work boss—a kind of Mafia figure—obtains papers for them by bribing the registration office, but those documents, listing a false address, leave the gastarbeiters at the mercy of the police. When they are found out, they're sometimes forced to pay a spot "fine" (read "bribe"), and repeat offenders may face deportation. Russia's federal government recently put the burden on employers to register the workers and check their identifications, but such measures are unlikely to stem the tide so long as the oil boom continues.

A FLOOD OF RUSSIANS from economically depressed cities west of the Urals is also swelling the oil towns of western Siberia. Forty years ago Surgut was a collection of wooden hovels, in a place where temperatures can plunge to minus 60 degrees Fahrenheit and midwinter darkness lasts for all but a few hours a day. Today Surgut is one of western Siberia's largest cities, with 300,000 people. The new arrivals are voting with their feet, a sign that Russia's new market economy is actually working.

Mike - the MBA blogger

The Power of Dreams


There once was a sheikh who dreamed big. His realm, on the shores of the Persian Gulf, was a sleepy, sun-scorched village occupied by pearl divers, fishermen, and traders who docked their ramshackle dhows and fishing boats along a narrow creek that snaked through town. But where others saw only a brackish creek, this sheikh, Rashid bin Saeed al Maktoum, saw a highway to the world.

One day in 1959, he borrowed many millions of dollars from his oil-rich neighbor, Kuwait, to dredge the creek until it was wide and deep enough for ships. He built wharves and warehouses and planned for roads and schools and homes. Some thought he was mad, others just mistaken, but Sheikh Rashid believed in the power of new beginnings. Sometimes at dawn, with his young son, Mohammed, by his side, he’d walk the empty waterfront and paint his dream in the air with words and gestures. And it was, in the end, as he said. He built it, and they came.

His son, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al Maktoum, now rules Dubai, and around that creek has built towering dreams of his own, transforming the sunrise vision of his father into a floodlit, air-conditioned, skyscrapered fantasy world of a million people. With its Manhattan-style skyline, world-class port, and colossal, duty-free shopping malls, little Dubai now attracts more tourists than the whole of India, more shipping vessels than Singapore, and more foreign capital than many European countries. The people of 150 nations have moved here to live and work. Dubai has even built man-made islands—some in the shape of palm trees—to accommodate the wealthiest of them. Its economic growth rate, 16 percent, is nearly double that of China. Construction cranes punctuate the skyline like exclamation points. Welcome to Dubai!

Mike - the MBA blogger

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Top 10 Geography Mistakes :)

Here's the collection of Top 10 Geography mistakes caught on tape. I have seen some of these videos. It was great fun to laugh at them again!



Mike - the MBA blogger

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Notorious Pakistan

So Pakistan finally agreed that the lone terrorist, Kasab is a Paki. This is one thing the world never doubted and the Pakistan’s acceptance was a huge surprise for me. But Pakistan is again playing the game by its own rules. President Zardari attracted a lot of flak for calling Kasab, a terrorist. Afterall, he was fighting for Kashmir. How can anyone who fights for Kashmir, no matter how many lives you take, be a terrorist? I can see a lot of people jumping enthusiastically and aggressively to answer me. Relax, I would like to clarify your opinion does not matter. What matters is that of Pakistan! Some things never change!

Mike - the MBA blogger

Monday, April 27, 2009

Rising Giant - Russia

There is only one joy for us,
And this is all we need,
To wash our faces in the new oil,
Of the drilling rig.

Little wonder Russians are toasting oil: These are boom times. Global oil prices have increased tenfold since 1998, and Russia has pulled ahead of Saudi Arabia as the world's top crude oil producer. The Kremlin's budget now overflows with funds for new schools, roads, and national defense projects, and Moscow's nouveau riche are plunking down millions of dollars for mansion-scale "dachas." Oilers' Day, an annual holiday, honoring the hard labor of the oil workers, is perhaps celebrated only in this part of the world. The pumping heart of the boom is western Siberia's boggy oil fields, which produce around 70 percent of Russia's oil—some seven million barrels a day.

But the opportunity presented by oil could slip through the region's fingers. Despite the remarkable surge in oil prices, oil production in western Siberia has leveled off in recent years. Output barely rose from 2004 to 2007—a period when the rulers of the Kremlin, a cold-eyed and control-oriented crew, seized choice fields once held by private oil barons. The oligarchs, as they were known, were rapacious sorts who jousted among themselves for spoils. But they also heavily invested in the fields in order to maximize production and profits. The Kremlin, by contrast, aims to exploit oil not only as a source of national wealth, but also as a political tool for making Russia a great world power once again. Its heavy-handed tactics have made foreign investors wary and could undermine the boom—and with it Khanty-Mansi's chances for a brighter future.

When Siberia's oil lands came under development, native people were forcibly herded into villages and cut off from their hunting and fishing grounds. Following the breakup of the Soviet Union, the nomads won legal status as "aboriginal people," with the right to roam the oil fields. Rural Russia is also being depopulated by the flight of young people to Moscow and other cities.

To counter these trends, Filipenko has implemented ambitious plans to turn Khanty-Mansi into a place young people will choose to live in rather than leave. And this effort, he boasts, is working. He notes that Khanty-Mansi has the third highest birthrate among provinces in Russia, and unlike the country as a whole, whose population is in decline, Khanty-Mansi's has increased 18 percent since 1989, from a combination of births and immigration.

Oil composes 90 percent of the capital's economy, which is not surprising given the surge in oil prices. But it points to a problem shared by all resource-dependent economies: At some point the resource will be exhausted, and new sources of prosperity will have to be found.

Mike - the MBA blogger

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Some Politics!

Part of my MBA coursework is a subject Global Political economy. Let me tell you, I thought it was one of the most boring and theoritical subjects. I was so wrong! Now lets interpretate how India and Pakistan have acted/ behaved with each other.

I request every reader to lose your sense of nationality and read the rest of this post, unbiasedly.

The Indian Angle:
The Partition meant India and Pakistan as two separate entities and then India had to deal with a fearful neighbour, Pakistan, which shared borders on both sides. East Pakistan was a worry for India and India used the native sentiments, sentiments of neglect by West Pakistan that led to a growing resentment and sense of separation. And our actions will be remembered, until India gets paid by the same coin! Afghanistan war though condemned by India, especially the enormous innocent lives lost, helped India to protect itself by weakening the Taliban-Pakistan nexus along with securing the border with Afghanistan. News is, India has set up its administrative offices along the Pak-Afghan border lines, just to secure the region. Pakistan has never been cramped for space.

The Pakistan angle:
Kashmir. Kashmir is a 90% Muslim occupied place and Pakistan could not tolerate Kashmir under India. And when Jinnah couldn't get access to his beloved tourist place in his last days, he felt hurt. And so did Pakistan. Ever since India freed East Pakistan as Bangladesh, Pakistan has intensified its activities on Kashmir. Now who is to blame! The war on terror on Afghanistan has radicalized Pakistan community. The pressure on Pakistan has led to poor spending on education. This inturn meant, drop-out ratio is very high. And poor quality schools has forced the students to madrasas, religious schools. Its no secret that a high percentage of this crowd join Taliban, to fight against US forces. Afghanistan and the Pakistan tribal areas has become the breeding place of the world's terror network!

The Neutral view:
Kashmir cannot go to India completely. Kahsmir cannot go to Pakistan completely.
Kashmir cannot be an independent country. If so, any change in demography would be seen by India (or Pakistan) as a strategy to forcefully occupy. Imagine, Kashmir becomes a neutral country, open to both. Millions of People, I bet and perhaps rightfully so, would move from Pakistan to Kashmir and breed. This would be seen by India as a occupying strategy and any imbalance in the region would lead to the never-ending blame game. So does it solve the problem, NO! How about this! US says, Kashmir is free and makes it like Taiwan. It guarantees security, in case of any attack from India and Pakistan. A very good neutral response? True! Would India agree? Never! Would Pakistan agree? Never!

As long as Pakistan continues to send negative vibes and news to the world, India would be very happy to claim splitting Kashmir or accepting LOC would be a security nightmare. So if Pakistan wants any claim over Kashmir, it needs to follow peace. Not for 6months, not for a year but atleast, i am guessing, 5-6 years. And if there is no taliban activity or infiltration and bombs exploding, the pressure would then be shifted to India! Would any soul in Pakistan understand! hmmm....don't think so!

Mike - the MBA blogger

Friday, March 27, 2009

Orlando and Disney's Love Affair

Orlando was the county seat of Orange County, but it wasn't citrus groves that prompted Disney's secret aerial reconnaissance. During his flyover, he focused on a wasteland southwest of Orlando where alligators outnumbered people. Porous limestone underlay the vegetal muck. What passed for dry land was speckled with shallow, brown-watered catchments, some the size of station wagons, others the size of suburbs.

Over the next two years, with the collusion of Orlando's top leaders, Disney secretly acquired more than 25,000 acres (10,000 hectares). People were glad to sell dirt cheap. This sludgy terrain was useless for agriculture. Who would want to vacation in such a place? Disney was certain most Americans would, once he worked his marketing magic on them. By the 1960s, all over America, suburbs were replacing old neighborhoods. Malls were driving Main Street out of business. There was hardly a new ranch home or split-level that didn't have a TV antenna on the roof. Disney realized that in the coming decades shows like The Mickey Mouse Club, not climate and geology, would determine what the majority of Americans would consider a safe and enjoyable place to take a family vacation. That day, flying over central Florida, Disney decided that he, not reality, would define what constituted the Magic Kingdom in the minds and spending habits of millions of Americans in the years to come.

The interstate highway system, started by the Eisenhower Administration as part of the Cold War defense effort against communism, was already crisscrossing America. Disney chose Orlando because it was at the confluence of two of the most important of these new thoroughfares, what today are Interstate 4 and Florida's Turnpike. There was also a deeply personal reason he located Disney World there—the same one that still lures people to Orlando today. In Florida's boggy, buggy, empty midsection, Walt Disney perceived a second chance.

His original theme park—Disneyland, in southern California—covered fewer than 300 acres (120 hectares). It soon was ringed with the suburban blight that its success inevitably attracted—motels, strip malls, copycat amusement parks. Disney never forgave himself for not making Disneyland big enough, but in Florida he hoped to rectify that mistake. He set out to create an Adventureland where nothing was left to chance. Arriving visitors would not be permitted to choose their own parking spaces; smiling Disney characters would do that for them. In this new, bigger, better Magic Kingdom, water could not be the tannic brown common in central Florida. So Bay Lake was drained, the sludge removed, and clear water pumped into the resulting lagoon. Even dry land would be turned into another Disney illusion: As you traverse the theme park, you are actually walking on the roof of an immense, underground control building from which the operation is run, staffed, and supplied.

Disney's new empire in central Florida would be marketed as Disney World. Its official name was, and remains, the Reedy Creek Improvement District. Thanks to a sweetheart deal with the state legislature, the lands Disney purchased were detached from the rest of Florida to form a Magic Kingdom, above and outside the law. Even now, Disney World's rides are exempt from state safety inspections. Democratic process is excluded, too. Power remains in the hands of a board of supervisors composed of Disney allies.

Mike - the MBA blogger

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Imran Khan - the Future of Pakistan



Another nice video, must see
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L9fW9jPnjgE

Mike - the MBA blogger

Monday, March 2, 2009

China vs India

In an article published in 2003 called “Can India overtake China?” Tarun Khanna of Harvard Business School and Steve Hamm argued that India’s domestic corporate sector – strengthened by the country’s rule of law, its democratic processes and relatively healthy financial system – was a source of substantial competitive advantage over China. At that time, the notion that India might be more competitive than China was laughed at. Few years later, India appears to have permanently broken out of its leisurely “Hindu rate of growth”– an annual gross domestic product increase of around 2 to 3 per cent – and its performance is beginning to approach the east Asian level. From April to June 2005, India’s GDP grew at 8.1 per cent, compared with 7.6 per cent in the same period the year before. More impressively, India is achieving this result with just half of China’s level of domestic investment in new factories and equipment, and only 10 per cent of China’s foreign direct investment. While China’s GDP growth in the last two years remained high, in 2003 and 2004 it was investing close to 50 per cent of its GDP in domestic plant and equipment – roughly equivalent to India’s entire GDP. That is higher than any other country, exceeding even China’s own exalted levels in the era of central planning. The evidence is very clear: China’s growth stems from massive accumulation of resources, while India’s growth comes from increasing efficiency.

Today as the world has gone into an economic crisis, India's Inflation which was a 8.5% a month ago, has slipped to 6.5% and the verdict is it might soon reach the controlled zone of 4 and less. When that happens, the world will know that India's potential in comparison to China is manifold. But what is stopping India from acheiving its potential. Strangely, Democracy! Is this good for the country? Strangely again, Yes! Why? Read on! India is a highly attractive destination for FDI but has it aggressively taken the direction as China has- No! The reason is, India is weary of the large number of its businesses which are independent entrepreneurial ventures. A deal between WalMart and Bharti to open retail shops was stalled by the Congress, as it feared it would flood the market and impede the growth of the Indian plaeyrs in the retail market. The advantage, the money is generated by Indians for India. What's different about this model? If one takes a closer look at China, we know why India is truly the country to look out for, it is steadily building a strong foundation. China has become the home for Manufacturers around the world! Why? It offers cheap labor, good infrastructure (aided by Chinese Government) and cheap resources. And "Made in China" labels is omnipresent. But "Made in China" is not necessarily "Made by China". If India needs to compete and win China, it has to improve its Infrastructure. An economic litmus test is not whether a country can attract a lot of FDI but whether it has a business environment that nurtures entrepreneurship, supports healthy competition and is relatively free of heavy handed political intervention. In this regard, India has done a better job than China. From India emerged a group of world-class companies ranging from Infosys in software, Ranbaxy in pharmaceuticals, Bajaj Auto in automobile components and Mahindra in car assembly. This did not happen by accident.The day is not long, when MNCs find an alternative to China. When that happens, China will be drained by much of its capital and its market, left to chinese players, will get very incompetent. This situation is never bound to happen in India. Every Industry, has one or more Indian player in the market. Thus India is building its economy towards becoming a self-sustaining growing economy whereas China is still busy, improving its foreign reserves and comfortable with the headstart it has over other economies.  

Unless China embarks on bold institutional reforms, India may very well outperform it in the next 20 years. But, hopefully, the biggest beneficiary of the rise of India will be China itself. It will be forced to examine the imperfections of its own economic model and to abandon its sense of complacency acquired in the 1990s. China was light years ahead of India in economic liberalisation in the 1980s. Today it lags behind in critical aspects, such as reform that would permit more foreign investment and domestic private entry in the financial sector. The time to act is now.

Mike - the MBA blogger

Friday, February 20, 2009

A World lost


Walk through the bazaars in Kabul or Mazar-e Sharif and you'll see why, for more than two millennia, people have been calling Afghanistan the crossroads of Asia. One face looks Mediterranean, another Arab - or Indian, or Chinese, or eastern European. Eyes range from pea green to chestnut brown to something approaching orange. Successive invasions and influences wove a tapestry of ethnicities and left behind what the exhibition curator, Fredrik Hiebert of the National Geographic Society, calls "some of the most remarkable archaeological finds in all of Central Asia."

The recent story of Afghanistan is revealed looking at the girl's eyes. Land mines, a resurgent Taliban, suicide bombs, the searing memory of war - the obstacles bedeviling Afghans as they try to put their country back together are daunting. The biggest thing that's broken in Afghanistan isn't the buildings, or the roads, or even the electrical system. It's the broken psychology. "Twenty-five years of war is hell. Not only were tons of artifacts stolen, so was the Afghans' history, their heritage. Afghan children no longer know Afghan folk songs. How can they get their pride back?"

Mike - the MBA blogger

Sunday, February 8, 2009

Hedging

Lets talk about Hedging. So what exactly is Hedging? Hedging is the process of dealing with foreign exchange so that the owner gets maximum benefit. Example, an Education loan for International studies is at a Foreign Exchange risk. Imagine an Indian student taking a study loan of 20lakhs in Rupees in May 2008 and pays the same in Sep 2008. There would be a huge forex problem as Dollar was strengthened artificially and $ became equivalent to 46INR from 41.xx INR. This is a considerable loss. Now following are some of the hedging concepts.
Forward Contract: You agree to either buy or sell an amount of currency (or whatever else it is) in the future at a price decided upon today.
Spot Rate 3-Month Forward Contract Rate 3-Month Forward Forecasted Rate
1AUD = 1050MNT 1 AUD = 1000MNT 1 AUD = 1100MNT
1 AUD = 110 KZT 1 AUD = 105 KZT 1 AUD = 100 KZT
1 AUD = 5 BWP 1 AUD = 5 BWP 1 AUD = 5 BWP
1 AUD = 2 SRD 1 AUD = 4 SRD 1 AUD = 6 SRD

Anytime the 3-month contract rate yields more AUD than the 3-month forecasted rates, get a
forward contract. In this case, the Cat Empire will want to be in the short position for Forward Contracts
for the MNT and the SRD. To be safe, the Cat Empire may also want to use a Forward Contract for the
BWP as well.
Foreign Currency Futures: An agreement to deliver to another a given amount of a standardized
commodity or financial instrument at a designated future date. This is the same thing as a forward contract, but a futures contract can only be in a set increment (kind of like a bank note), such as $100,000 (which is the most common denomination). So you can buy, say, 5 futures contracts worth $500,000.

Henry Avery, a pirate that has spenth is life pillaging and plunderingt he westernh emisphere,w ants to
retire and buy a condominium in Bangalore in I year. The anticipated price on the condominium is
expected to be INR 3 million. The 1 year future price is IUSD = INR 40. The cost of a round turn per
contracti s usD 75. Each Indian Rupeef uture contractr epresentsIN R 500,000.
How many USD will Henry need if he were to secure this position?
Condo’s worth USD: INR 3,000,000 / 40 (spot) = $75,000
Round Turn Cost = No of Round turns * Cost of each contract = 3000000/500000 = 6 x $75 = $450
Total Cost = $75450

Foreign Currency Options: You pay money to be guaranteed the right to buy something at a certain price in the future. You don't have to buy it, but you could if you wanted to.
• Exercise price: price at which you can buy the underlying security
• Call Option: Right to buy a financial instrument at a specific price. (Call me the money!)
• Put Option: Right to sell a financial instrument at a specific price. (Put the money away!)
• American Option: May exercise at anytime,( but you usually don't)
• European Option: Exercise only at a specific date
• Long position: You have the currency you need to do something with. You got money.
• Short position: You don't have the currency you need to do something with. You don't got money.
• Writer: Must stand behind obligation bound if buyer demands.


Tunnel Forwards: This is essentially a forward contract, but instead of negotiate a range of where your exchange rate could fall.

Foreign Currency Loan: You take out a loan in a foreign currency and convert it to your currency today. you have to pay the loan back with interest in the future.


Kumar Sangakkara, a cricket player from Sri Lanka, has been offered a new job during the off-season as a little-league cricket coach in India. The job lasts for three months, but he won't get paid his 500,000
Rupees until the end of his contract. To pay for his living expenses during those three months, Kumar is
considering taking out a foreign currency loan. The loan could be made at 3% above the present Indian
prime rate of 8% plus an arrangement fee of .2%. The Sri Lankan prime rate is currently 10%, and
Kumar will not pay a spread above that or an arrangement fee because he is a superstar in Sri Lanka. If
the spot rate is currently 1 Sri Lankan Rupee (SLR) = .35 Indian Rupees (INR) and the 3-month forward
rate is 1 Sri Lankan Rupee= .30 Indian Rupees should Kumar take the foreign currency loan?
Answer: No! Kumar's best choice would be to convert enough SLR to bring 500,000 INR with him to
India - when he gets paid in 3 months, his contract will be worth more than he paid for the 500,000 INR,
Thanks to depreciation of the INR against the SLR. His second best choice would be to take out a loan in
Sri Lanka for enough SLR to bring 500,000 INR and then pay back the interest when he returns to Sri
Lanka - again, depreciation of the INR against the SLR makes the 500,000 INR contract worth a lot more
in three months. It would be better not to pay a loan back in INR.
Step One: How much is the 500,000I NR worth to Kumar today? 500,000* 11.35= 1,428,571 SLR
Step Two: How much will the 500,000 INR be worth in 3 months? 500,000 * ll .3 = I.666.666 SLR
Step Three: what are the costs associated with the foreign currency loan?
Total Interest Paid: 500,000 x (.08 + .03) = 55,960 INR
Total Arrangement Fee: 500,000 * .002 = 1,000 INR
Amount that Kumar would receive today: 500,000- (55,000+ 1,000=) 444,000INR
What is this worth in SLR: 444000 * 1/.35 = 1268571 SLR
Total Paid in 3 Months: 1,428,517 * 1.1 = 1,571,428 SLR

Pre-sale of a Foreign Contract:
You're expecting to collect on a contract in the future. Instead of waiting for your money,
you sell your contract to a third party and get your money today.



Mike - the MBA blogger

Friday, January 23, 2009

India trip

My trip to India was the most boring trip I have ever had. Coming to Chennai, I realized none of my friends are in India. Most of them are studying/working abroad, in US and my best friends gang are also wide and apart – Sada – UK, Balaji Chennai, Lava – Bombay-> Chennai, Anand – Hyderabad, Rahul – Dubai, Ananth – US, Jayram – Mumbai. With just two of my best buddies around, weekends were the only option. But then, without bike, meeting them turned out quite a task. At home, my only timepass was TV and my mom hates me whenever I switch I on. As usual, I never relented! Dad was asusual busy with his Sudoku. Thankfully, he found a part-time job to train Loan recovery Bank agents to fill his time and purse. I doubt if Chennai will ever be the same for me. Next time, I better come with loads of dollars and plan a family trip across India. Else, it’s quite boring to think of coming back.

Mike - the MBA blogger

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Obama - Hope of the world

History will be made today. Obama takes charge as President today. America will have its first Afro-American President. News is his inauguration ceremony tickets were sold in 20seconds. This day will go down as one of the world’s greatest milestones. Barack Hussain Obama, has lots of problems to deal with as soon as he resumes his day. At the top of his agenda, will be America’s Economic Crisis, closely followed by Indo-Pak crisis, US-Russia relations and weakening state of America in the world stage. Many have already passed their judgments that he’ll be a savior of America. I hope he delivers for America and the rest of the world.

Mike - the MBA blogger

Monday, January 12, 2009

Slumdog Millionaire

“Slumdog Millionaire” is the talk of Golden Globe Awards. The film directed by Danny Boyles is about the Mumbai spirit and what better timing than now, after Mumbai attacks. A.R.Rahman became the first Indian to bag the Golden Globe for Best Original Music. This film is now in my list of must watch movies. The film has also become a favorite for Oscars. I wish it wins an Oscar, it would be poetic justice to celebrate the spirit of Mumbai which is shown evidently in the film, through the everyday life at Asia’s biggest slum, Dharavi. One thing though, this film is definitely not about Bollywood and Bollywood has nothing to be proud of. Indians can feel proud, for, its all about the Mumbai spirit.

Mike - the MBA blogger